Foreign capital in the banking system of Ukraine: analytical modeling and forecasting.
Keywords:
banking, foreign investment, bank, global economic system, global financial stability, the crisisAbstract
The article analyzes the current trends of the domestic banking business in terms of the presence of foreign capital. Modeled the fraction of banks with foreign capital in the total number of banks on factors such as foreign direct investment (FDI) into Ukraine, return on assets (ROA), GDP, exports of services, net interest margin, which is based on the forecast of the share of banks with foreign capital in the total number of banks until 2017 for two scenarios. Based on the analysis concluded that the main factors stimulating the increased presence of foreign capital in Ukrainian banking sector are favorable conditions for foreign economic activity - in particular, the promotion of FDI in Ukraine and Ukrainian exports of services.References
Ассоциация банков Украины [Электронный ресурс] - Режим доступа: http://aub.org.ua/ - Название с экрана.
Государственный комитет статистики Украины [Электронный ресурс] - Режим доступа: http://ukrstat.gov.ua/ - Название с экрана.
Национальный банк Украины [Электронный ресурс] - Режим доступа: http://www.bank.gov.ua/control/uk/index - Название с экрана.
Независимая ассоциация банков Украины [Электронный ресурс] - Режим доступа: http://www.nabu.com.ua/ukr/ - Название с экрана.
Bernanke Ben S. At the 48th Annual Conference on Bank Structure and Competition. Chicago 2012. May 10.
House passes Ron Paul’s Fed audit measure/ The Washington Post. 2012. July 25.